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ANALYSIS ENGINE / LIVE 32 agents · 3 lenses · 8 markets on the board

Is YES cheap at this price? We do the work.

A panel of 32 AI analysts prices every market three ways, fair value, risk, and track record, then ranks the board by where the market looks most mispriced. Research, not financial advice.

8
markets in
L1Valuation and base rates
L2Risk
L3Track record
Synthesis
weigh and reconcile
verdict out
UNDERPRICEDFAIRLY PRICEDOVERPRICED
32AI analysts per board
3independent lenses
30+analyst runs per board
1honest verdict

Top signals right now

Ranked by mispricing · analyzed by 32 AI agents · Jul 16 2026

The five markets where the price and our panel disagree the most. Each one is scored across fair value, risk, and track record, then checked against where the smart money is.

Split Congress: R Senate, D House?Politics · resolves Nov 3, 2026 40.5¢YES price
OVERPRICEDconfidence: medium
our fair range 24-33%market 40.5%
40.5%market implied
24-33%our fair range
Nov 3 2026resolves
$305kNOsmart money
US recession by end of 2026?Macro · resolves Jan 31, 2027 10.5¢YES price
UNDERPRICEDconfidence: medium
our fair range 12-18%market 10.5%
10.5%market implied
12-18%our fair range
Jan 31 2027resolves
$23kNOsmart money
Zero Fed rate cuts in 2026?Macro · resolves Dec 31, 2026 81.3¢YES price
FAIRLY PRICEDconfidence: medium
our fair range 73-83%market 81.3%
81.3%market implied
73-83%our fair range
Dec 31 2026resolves
$411kYESsmart money
Democrats sweep the 2026 midterms?Politics · resolves Nov 3, 2026 44.5¢YES price
FAIRLY PRICEDconfidence: medium
our fair range 38-46%market 44.5%
44.5%market implied
38-46%our fair range
Nov 3 2026resolves
$284kNOsmart money
Will Spain win the 2026 World Cup?Sports · resolves Jul 19, 2026 58.2¢YES price
FAIRLY PRICEDconfidence: medium
our fair range 52-62%market 58.2%
58.2%market implied
52-62%our fair range
Jul 19 2026resolves
$21.6MNOsmart money

Market signal ranking

Ranked by mispricing · prices at analysis, Jul 16 2026

A panel of 32 AI analysts scores each market, then we rank the board by the gap between the market price and the fair range the evidence supports. Smart money shows the biggest single position from the top holders.

#MarketPriceVerdictEdgeSmart money
1 Split Congress: R Senate, D House?Politics · fair 24-33% 40.5%market OVERPRICED -12rich $305kNO 2 US recession by end of 2026?Macro · fair 12-18% 10.5%market UNDERPRICED +4.5cheap $23kNO 3 Zero Fed rate cuts in 2026?Macro · fair 73-83% 81.3%market FAIRLY PRICED -3.3fair $411kYES 4 Democrats sweep the 2026 midterms?Politics · fair 38-46% 44.5%market FAIRLY PRICED -2.5fair $284kNO 5 Will Spain win the 2026 World Cup?Sports · fair 52-62% 58.2%market FAIRLY PRICED -1.2fair $21.6MNO 6 Newsom the 2028 Democratic nominee?Politics · fair 14-24% 19.9%market FAIRLY PRICED -0.9fair $2.4MNO 7 Will Argentina win the 2026 World Cup?Sports · fair 17-23% 19.7%market FAIRLY PRICED +0.3fair $30.0MNO 8 Will England win the 2026 World Cup?Sports · fair 20-26% 22.8%market FAIRLY PRICED +0.2fair $51.4MNO

Markets we are watching

Live from Polymarket, top markets by 24h volume
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Best prediction markets

Where to actually trade these markets, ranked. SmartX is our #1 pick: it puts smart-money research and execution on one screen.

#PlatformTypeAccessSmart moneyBest forRating
1SmartX#1 PICKAI terminalGlobal Built-inSmart-money tracking plus execution on one screen9.6
2PolymarketOn-chain venueGlobal-Deepest liquidity and the most markets9.5
3Predict.funOn-chain venueGlobal-Points and airdrop farming while you trade8.6
4Kalshi GEO-BLOCKEDRegulated (US)US-only-US only, blocked for most global traders9.3
5Limitless GEO-BLOCKEDOn-chain (Base)Restricted-Restricted access, no route from here8.4

How we score: smart-money tools, execution quality, liquidity, and access. Read the full scoring method →

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